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Point Processes
Provider: Faculty of Science

Activity no.: 7010-22-07-31 
Enrollment deadline: 21/11/2022
PlaceDepartment of Mathematical Sciences
Universitetsparken 5, 2100 København Ø
Date and time21.11.2022, at: 08:00 - 27.01.2023, at: 16:00
Regular seats50
ECTS credits7.50
Contact personNina Weisse    E-mail address: weisse@math.ku.dk
Enrolment Handling/Course OrganiserNiels Richard Hansen    E-mail address: niels.r.hansen@math.ku.dk
Written languageEnglish
Teaching languageEnglish
Semester/BlockBlock 2
Scheme groupA (Tues 8-12 + Thurs 8-17)
Exam formContinuous assessment
Exam detailsA total of 3 individual assignments. 2 minor theoretical assignments (each with weight 15%) and 1 mixed theoretical and practical assignment (weight 70%).
Grading scale7 point grading scale. For PhD students: Passed / Not Passed
Course workload
Course workload categoryHours
Lectures28.00
Preparation104.00
Theory exercises14.00
Exam60.00

Sum206.00


Content
- Random measures and Poisson processes.
- Stochastic processes with locally bounded variation.
- Integration w.r.t. random measures and locally bounded variation processes.
- Stochastic integral equations, numerical solutions and simulation algorithms.
- Elements of continuous time martingale theory.
- Change of measure, the likelihood process and statistical inference.
- Multivariate asynchronous event time models.

Learning outcome
Knowledge:
- Aspects of stochastic analysis for processes with finite local variation.
- Statistical methods for estimation and model selection.
- Applications of concrete multivariate recurrent event time models.

Skills: Ability to
- compute with stochastic integrals w.r.t. locally bounded variation processes
- construct univariate and multivariate models as solutions to stochastic integral equations
- simulate solutions to stochastic integral equations
- estimate parameters via likelihood and penalized likelihood methods
- implement the necessary computations
- build dynamic models of multivariate event times, fit the models to data, simulate from the models and validate the models.

Competences: Ability to
- analyze mathematical models of events with appropriate probabilistic techniques
- develop statistical tools based on the mathematical theory of event times
- assess which asynchronous event time models are appropriate for a particular data modelling task

Teaching and learning methods
4 hours of lectures and 2 hours of exercises each week for seven weeks

Remarks
Recommended Academic Qualifications:
Probability theory and mathematical statistics on a measure theoretic level. Knowledge of stochastic process theory including discrete time martingales and preferably aspects of continuous time stochastic processes.

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